Consequences of the liberation of Kherson, expert opinion

16:27 24 November Kyiv, Ukraine

The liberation of Kherson by Ukrainian troops on November 11 was both predictable and unexpected. The consequences of the withdrawal of Russian troops from this direction are of both strategic importance, as well as psychological and political.

Another victory over the enemy and the withdrawal of Russian troops from Kherson, the only regional center that the invaders managed to capture since February 24, is very important in strategic terms. The grouping of Russian troops withdrawn from Kherson is so degraded and demoralized that it cannot be used to reinforce the exhausted offensive on Bakhmut. Meanwhile, highly motivated Ukrainian units can be quickly redeployed to maintain the momentum of breaking through the numerous weak spots in the aggressor's defensive lines.

A rather unusual public statement of the intention to withdraw from the fortified positions around Kherson was supposed to be another “goodwill gesture” and serve as the Kremlin’s first step to suspend hostilities and be able to strengthen its positions. However, Putin was wrong again, because not only for Kyiv, but for all Ukrainians, the liberation of Kherson only strengthened the determination to continue the offensive for the complete de-occupation of all Ukrainian territories..Everyone is well aware that Russia needs a pause to restore the broken battalions and turn the mobilized into something resembling combat units, but Kyiv does not intend to give the enemy such a pause.

. The consequences of the withdrawal of Russian troops from this direction are of both strategic importance, as well as psychological and political. Another victory over the enemy and the withdrawal of Russian troops from Kherson, the only regional center that the invaders managed to capture since February 24, is very important in strategic terms. The grouping of Russian troops withdrawn from Kherson is so degraded and demoralized that it cannot be used to reinforce the exhausted offensive on Bakhmut. Meanwhile, highly motivated Ukrainian units can be quickly redeployed to maintain the momentum of breaking through the numerous weak spots in the aggressor's defensive lines. The rather unusual public announcement of the intention to withdraw from the fortified positions around Kherson was supposed to be another “goodwill gesture” and serve as the Kremlin’s first step in order to suspend hostilities and be able to strengthen its positions. However, Putin was wrong again, because not only for Kyiv, but for all Ukrainians, the liberation of Kherson only strengthened the determination to continue the offensive for the complete de-occupation of all Ukrainian territories.. Everyone is well aware that Russia needs a pause to restore the broken battalions and turn the mobilized into something resembling combat units, but Kyiv does not intend to give the enemy such a pause. It is also clear to the Ukrainian leadership that a hypothetical ceasefire will not lead to substantive peace talks, since by announcing the annexation of four Ukrainian regions, Putin has effectively burned all bridges to a diplomatic end to the war. At the same time, the annexed regions were considered in Russia as part of its territories.. Loss The liberation of Kherson showed that this was not the case. Moreover, Putin has done nothing to protect, as propagandists say, “his people”, and now the borders of the Russian Federation are, in fact, blurred. The internal split in Russia has also intensified.. Propagandists deliberately began to downplay the loss of Kherson, which is logical. Bloggers and military correspondents, who so selflessly denounced the entire military leadership of the Russian Federation for the defeat in the Kharkov region, began to praise Surovikin for the withdrawal of troops. The removed Lapin, against whom Prigozhin and Kadyrov waged their anti-campaign, in the event of the surrender of Kherson, could even end up behind bars. But more remarkable are the metamorphoses among the ideologists of the "Russian world". Fascist, Russianist and, as Putin calls him, “our philosopher” Alexander Dugin criticized the dictator, hinting that in case of subsequent failures, Putin would be killed. Having failed to shift the vector of irritation of the Russian society and part of the propagandists from the loss of Kherson, the Kremlin started talking about negotiations in order to take a break, thereby gaining time to stabilize the internal situation in Russia and on the battlefields in Ukraine. It is very important not to give this pause to the Kremlin, because the reality shows that the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue their offensive and will soon achieve new successes. The defeat of the aggressor is getting closer and more obvious, and the de-occupation of Kherson demonstrates how painfully Russia perceives the loss of what it has declared “its own.” height="564" />

It is also clear to the Ukrainian leadership that a hypothetical ceasefire will not lead to substantive peace talks, since by announcing the annexation of four Ukrainian regions, Putin has effectively burned all bridges to a diplomatic end to the war. At the same time, the annexed regions were considered in Russia as part of its territories.. Loss The liberation of Kherson showed that this was not the case. Moreover, Putin has done nothing to protect, as propagandists say, “his people”, and now the borders of the Russian Federation are, in fact, blurred.

The internal split in Russia also intensified. Propagandists deliberately began to downplay the loss of Kherson, which is logical. Bloggers and military correspondents, who so selflessly denounced the entire military leadership of the Russian Federation for the defeat in the Kharkov region, began to praise Surovikin for the withdrawal of troops. The removed Lapin, against whom Prigozhin and Kadyrov waged their anti-campaign, in the event of the surrender of Kherson, could even end up behind bars. But more remarkable are the metamorphoses among the ideologists of the “Russian world”. Fascist, Russianist and, as Putin calls him, “our philosopher” Alexander Dugin criticized the dictator, hinting that in case of subsequent failures, Putin would be killed.

 

Having failed to shift the vector of irritation of the Russian society and part of the propagandists from the loss of Kherson, the Kremlin started talking about negotiations in order to take a break, thereby gaining time to stabilize the internal situation in Russia and on the battlefields in Ukraine. It is very important not to give this pause to the Kremlin, because the reality shows that the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue their offensive and will soon achieve new successes. The defeat of the aggressor is getting closer and more obvious, and the de-occupation of Kherson demonstrates how painfully Russia perceives the loss of what it has declared “its own”.