What is needed for the victory of Ukraine according to foreign experts

15:03 14 June Kyiv, Ukraine

Retired Admiral James Stavridis, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, Vice Chairman of Global Affairs at The Carlyle Group and Chairman of the Board of the Rockefeller Foundation, co-author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War and author of Risking It All: Nine Conflicts and crucible of decision-making”, expressed his opinion on the quality and quantity of assistance provided to Ukraine by the West.

In particular, back in March of this year, he pointed out possible ways to solve the problem of establishing a no-fly zone over the territory of Ukraine.. The most important thing he talks about is time, as a decisive and determining factor, and the very possibility of establishing a flight without an open clash with Russia, which the United States avoids in every possible way. Stavridis suggested considering Western aid not as “yes/no”, give or take, but constantly maneuver based on opportunities and risks.

The first thing Stavridis proposed to do was to increase the level of intelligence information provided. It looks like these plans were implemented, since some time ago the foreign press massively broadcast the news about the involvement of American intelligence in the destruction of Russian generals.

The second component of support is the cyber defense of command and control networks. So far, Russia's cyber capabilities are either not being used or are greatly overestimated.

And the most important thing that has been repeatedly mentioned is the creation of a “no-fly zone”. Many experts have authoritatively stated that a no-fly over Ukraine is impossible and even harmful, they said that it would be a kind of “gift for Putin”, would justify a preemptive strike, and so on.. It turned out that there is still a possibility of its establishment without any risks of air battles between NATO aviation and Russian aircraft. Sending equipment to Ukraine so that we can use it ourselves is as easy as shelling pears, it negates the risks of hostilities between nuclear powers. So why hasn't this been done yet?

The answer is that the world community's support for Ukraine is far from being consolidated.. Most of the 195 countries of the world did not impose sanctions and did not send aid, and although there are only a few countries openly supporting Russia, the majority took the most nasty, but at the same time prudent position of the “dirty middle”, as defined by Carisa Nietzsche from the Center for a New American Security, waiting on the sidelines which of the colossi will fall on the battlefield to finish the defeated.

Atlantic Council Senior Vice President Barry Pavel believes that Europeans and Americans live in an information bubble, thinking that all countries are in support of Ukraine, in fact, most governments in the world have taken a wait-and-see attitude.

India and Israel, which did not support the March 2 vote for a UN resolution condemning the Russian invasion, are important states in many respects, and if Israel with a population of 10 million represents a serious political weight, then there are 1.4 billion Indians, and this is also an excellent alternative to the lost European commodity markets. In any case, these countries, like the other 34 that did not join the resolution, put their own national interests at the forefront and avoid the supply of weapons and the imposition of sanctions.

Latin America, Southeast Asia and half of the 54 countries in Africa did not support the UN resolution, relying on Russian military assistance or not wanting to jeopardize trade relations with China.

There are countries that supported the resolution, but nevertheless believe that the actions of the West are counterproductive and will lead to the collapse of their own economy and the escalation of the war.

Arabs, Saudis and other autocracies see their own power as a threat, as the conflict between Ukraine and Russia is presented by the West as a confrontation between democracy and dictatorship, and opposition movements in these countries may want to take a chance.

Thus, the world is far from unanimous support for Ukraine, every leader is trying to get political preferences and, first of all, he thinks that when the time comes to negotiate, and more and more authoritative opinions tend to this option, how to save face, because you are shaking hands with someone whom he most recently called a "butcher" and a "bloody dictator."