Possibly the impossible...

20:27 20 July Kyiv, Ukraine

The sanctions imposed against Russia by the world democratic society are extremely necessary to weaken the aggressor country, which now poses an open threat to peace and order on the entire planet. Effective international measures aimed at reducing Russia's export revenues significantly affect the Kremlin's ability to wage war in Ukraine and deepen the crisis of Russian society, "pushing" it to understand the perniciousness of Putin's aggressive policy.

The decline of the economy, the sharp strengthening of the ruble and the loss of Europe as the main market for the sale of hydrocarbons force the Russian government to launch budget sequestration. In the next three years, the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation proposes to reduce the expenses of the federal treasury by 1.6 trillion rubles, "putting under the knife" 59 out of 62 state programs and non-program areas of activity.

The main victim of the sequestration will be the large-scale infrastructure construction plan, with the help of which Putin promised four years ago to accelerate Russia's economic growth to rates "higher than the world."

Spending on "Crimea", "innovative economy" (which the Russians never saw despite all the statements of the authorities), and agriculture will be significantly reduced. Funding for space programs will be reduced by a quarter. Only the "support of defense capability" (read: the ability to commit war crimes) of Russia will not only not decrease, but will also increase. But, understanding the need for "gingerbread" for the domestic audience, the "social support of citizens" program will not be affected, which will become almost a record for the last 20 years.

The only possible condition for the "survival" of the Russian economy is an increase in the price of energy resources and the search for "new markets" for their implementation, bypassing sanctions at the expense of huge consumer countries, primarily China and India.

Any action has direct and indirect mediated consequences. This thesis certainly applies to the sanctions introduced by the countries of the "anti-Putin" coalition. And the "cold winter" that may await the German burghers and the drop in the standard of living of the European and American community, actively "advertised" by Kremlin agitators, is only the surface layer of the possible consequences necessary for defeating the world aggressor, sanctions.

A sharp increase in the number of various sanctions lists and proposals of different countries, which even before the beginning of Russia's armed aggression against Ukraine was more than 300, significantly increased the load on the international financial and economic system, which was already in a rather shaky state under the conditions of economic globalization.

The lack of 100% consistency in the sanctions lists from Great Britain, the EU and the USA make the already difficult work of the system even more difficult.
The threat of cyberattacks by hacker pro-Kremlin groups on the international banking sector has increased significantly, which also does not add stability and predictability to the work of the global financial and economic system. The Kremlin is trying in every way to destabilize the mechanisms of trade and economic relations between Western countries established over decades and in this way to sow discord in the international democratic society.

The criminal war unleashed by Putin's Kremlin against Ukraine and its worldwide consequences have already negatively affected the lives of not only Ukrainians, but also hundreds of millions of people around the world. But this "horror of the 21st century" also has its beneficiaries, for whom everything that happens "in the war" and "around the war" is absolutely invested in their own intentions and long-term plans. And this is far from Russia, which, in the end, will ingloriously end its life cycle after the defeat in Ukraine.

China has long been in a state of almost "cold" war with the West. For the authorities of the Celestial Empire, Europe and the USA are only a huge "Trading Platform" for gradual economic expansion. Just as Russia is considered by the Chinese authorities only as a "raw material appendage" and a possible donor of new territories for the rapidly growing number of its own population, which must be used from the point of view of huge (and, moreover, practically free) resource opportunities.

The situation in Western society after the beginning of Russia's war against Ukraine justifies the most fantastic expectations of the Chinese authorities.

The European energy crisis and the rise in energy prices, provoked by Russia, will significantly increase the cost of European production, which will lead to an unconditional increase in the price of domestic products.

In this way, the competitiveness of European goods, which is rapidly falling even now due to the saturation of markets with much cheaper goods from Chinese manufacturers, will fall even lower and open China's access to the "commodity occupation" of European countries. Moreover, Russia's efforts to reorient the market of energy consumers towards China and India forces it to make price concessions in the sale of raw materials to these countries. Which significantly reduces the cost of goods exported by the Celestial Empire to world markets.
For Russia, the forced reorientation of exports of raw materials under sanctions carries the threat of an even greater increase in influence on the part of China, which will eventually force the Kremlin to give such a "partner" not only its "subsoil wealth", but also a significant amount of territory, which cunning China has long "set its eye on" .

Cui prodest - who benefits...

Russia starts a criminal war against Ukraine - receives sanctions from the international community, which significantly affect not only the aggressor country, but also the socio-economic condition of Europe and America itself - the economic (and not only) positions of Asia are strengthened - Russia falls into direct dependence from China (and possibly India) as the only powerful economic and geopolitical "partner".