The upcoming 36th NATO summit in Madrid will certainly become historic, everything suggests that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan bargained for himself what he wanted and graciously agreed to vote for Finland and Sweden to join the Alliance, which he strongly opposed back on June 26.
The issue of NATO expansion is the key one at the moment and is more important from a purely political side than from a practical one.. US President Joe Biden confirmed his nominal leadership, showed the whole world, and above all Russia, that the Alliance is still united and is a force to be reckoned with.
It seems that the tragedy of Ukraine helped restart the almost dead interest club and turn it back into a military alliance, which will almost certainly be replenished with two new members very soon.
On June 28, a decisive meeting of the leaders of Turkey, Finland and Sweden took place in Madrid, as a result of which the heads of the candidate countries officially refused to support Kurdish terrorists, terrorist financing, agreed on the extradition of persons accused of terrorism, which was enshrined in the corresponding memorandum. A productive morning contributed to the breakthrough evening, when Erdogan's phone rang with the US president on the other end of the wire, I think Joe Biden promised something really worthwhile for Turkey's pliability.
“When Russia attacked, we were well prepared,” says NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. However, the Alliance is experiencing certain difficulties with the implementation of Article 5 in some participating countries.
Today, up to 40,000 allied troops are concentrated on the borders of Ukraine, but the Baltic countries do not feel safe and rightly so. The request of the Baltic countries for a significant increase in troops and weapons does not find a response, but the matter is not only in armament, the very concept of the defense of the Baltic countries does not provide for lightning-fast response and it comes down to simple geography.
Due to the geographical features of the region, all three countries very quickly turn into a "cauldron" without the possibility of retreat or reinforcement, no matter how many contingents are there. Those military personnel who are now in Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia perform the role of a tripwire "stretch" or signal rocket, the functions of which are reduced to warning of an attack. The only positive thing is multinationality, that is, with one blow, the enemy, in the event of an attack, hits the military personnel of a dozen European countries at once.
Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas tried to draw attention to the issue on the eve of the NATO summit, who, as they say, opened a couple of dirty NATO secrets, saying that the new NATO defense concept provides for the occupation of the three Baltic countries for 180 days, only then they will receive help from allied troops. Latvia supported panic moods and it is clear why, because in the event of an attack and given the modest size of the countries, there will be nothing to save there in six months. NATO officials do not confirm these plans, referring to the top secret.
From all that is happening, we can conclude that the structure has clearly come to life, but is too ossified and does not keep up with modern decision-making and response speeds.. The persistent unwillingness to enter into conflict with Russia also smacks of mothballs and casts doubt on the very existence of the Alliance, which continues to call itself "defensive." Breakthrough decisions are expected in the next two days: expansion into two countries at once, the designation of an “enemy”, an increase in membership fees ...
The patient breathes on his own, we are waiting for him to start moving.